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Document	Author	Sponsor/ Audience	Download
Competition in DoD Systems Acquisition: Past Lessons and Future Considerations Award-winning paper that describes the result of a study performed for the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation (CAPE) and examines the historical success (or lack thereof) of competition at improving acquisition outcomes for past programs from the late 1960s to 2000s.	M. Beltramo R. Collins B. Torgersen	OSD-CAPE SCEA	(477KB PDF)
New Research on GERM Significance Testing Presentation that looks at the cost estimating relationship (CER) development in the absence of specific functional form assumptions and distributional assumptions about the error term.	K. Cincotta A. Busick	SCEA	(214KB PDF)
Use of Life Cycle Cost Estimates in OMB-300 Budget Reporting This presentation compares the life cycle costs of program budget estimates and their convergence into OMB-300 budget items, and addresses the challenges and issues that arise in this process.	D. Brown K. Cincotta	SCEA	(174KB PDF)
Ship Construction Estimates at Completion: A New Technique Using the Weibull Function Presentation expands on previous efforts to model burn rate via a Rayleigh curve by introducing two regression techniques: the Hybrid Weibull and Beta Variant methodologies.	S. Rudolph	SCEA	(1.82MB PDF)
Modeling of Inflation Uncertainity in Cost-Risk Analysis This presentation looks at future-year inflation factors of cost-risk analysis, which is often neglected or inadequately modeled, used to inflate costs from base-year dollars to then-year dollars.	J. Glenn R. Meyer P. Hardin	SCEA	(1.85MB PDF)
The Process, Challenges and Status in Developing Standard Work Breakdown Structures and Historical Databases for the Department of Energy This presentation looks at the process employed to date in developing standard Work Breakdown Structures (WBS) and historical cost and technical databases for Department of Energy (DOE) projects. This presentation illustrated some of the challenges encountered as well as the current status and activities planned in the future.	B. Octeau	DoECATS	(1.13MB PDF)
Pitfalls and Solutions for Analyzing Earned Value Management Data This presentation illustrates typical issues found through analysis of Earned Value Management (EVM) data and proposed alternative analysis methods that address some of these shortcomings.	B. Octeau	DoECATS	(1.38MB PDF)
Integrating Performance and Schedule Analysis with Acquisition Costing for Ground-Based Radars Technomics and Georgia Tech Research Institute (GTRI) have developed a set of tools (cost models, performance models and schedule models) for phased array and planar array ground-based radars for the Air Force Cost Analysis Agency (AFCAA).	J. Horak J. Harbour	AFCAA DoDCAS	(480KB PDF)
Analysis of the Impact of OPTEMPO on Navy O&S Cost An approach to estimating the costs associated with overseas naval carrier battle group deployments.	B. Octeau P. Hardin	NCCA DoDCAS	(1.2MB PDF)
COTS Desktop PC Performance & Price Estimation Hedonic price estimation of future commercial-off-the-shelf (COTS) computer prices.	J. Lee	NCCA SCEA	(0.9MB PDF)
COTS Procurement Cost Estimating Methodology Top-level techniques for estimating the impact of commercial-off-the-shelf (COTS) components on procurement hardware costs.	P. Hardin	NCCA	(0.2MB PDF)
UAV Acquisition Cost Estimating Methodology Performance-based unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) system acquisition cost estimating methodology and its application to Future Combat System (FCS) cost estimating.	J. Cherwonik	DASA-CE	(0.2MB PDF)
UGV Procurement Cost Estimating Methodology Improved procurement cost estimating methodologies for unmanned ground vehicles (UGV).	P. Hardin J. Grudzien	DASA-CE	(0.3MB PDF)
Simple Parametric Model for Estimating Development (RDT&E) Cost for Large-Scale Systems Addresses the concept of interdependence and the architecture products, i.e., Nodes and Links, which capture the effects of interdependence and describes the Nodes and Links modeling taxonomy, the selection of DoDAF views which provide the required data, the extraction of data, and the validation process used to insure data consistency.	P. Hardin R. Jones A. Irvine	OSD	(2.14MB PDF)
Computer Hardware Deflation & Performance Estimation Details the effects of inflation and technology on the prices of computer hardware equipment using hedonic price theory and the development of several related price indexes.	J.Lee J. Cherwonik M. Gallo	NCCA	(1.7MB PDF)
NCCA SMPS Framework of SMPS System Dynamics Tool Documents the Software Maintenance Process Simulator (SMPS), a simulation model of the software maintenance process that facilitates understanding and estimate of cost associated with maintaining DoD software.	B. Octeau J. Lee	NCCA	(0.6MB PDF)
NCCA SMPS User Guide User guide for the Software Maintenance Process Simulator (SMPS), a simulation model of the software maintenance process that facilitates understanding and estimate of cost associated with maintaining DoD software.	B. Octeau J. Lee	NCCA	(0.5MB PDF)
Simple is Not Necessarily Better Why software productivity factors can lead to bad software cost estimates.	M. Gallo P. Hardin J. Wilke	DoDCAS	(0.5MB PDF)
Software Code Growth An improved method for estimating the growth of software source lines of code based on historical analysis of actuals.	R. Jones P. Hardin	SCEA	(0.2MB PDF)
Midpoint Formulas White Paper Details the history and derivation of parameterized and non-parametric midpoint equations.	J. Lee	IR&D	(0.2MB PDF)
Midpoint Calculator User Manual User manual for the Technomics Midpoint Calculator Excel® Add-In.	J. Lee	IR&D	(0.2MB PDF)
Midpoint Calculator Excel® Add-In Technomics Midpoint Calculator Excel® Add-In for calculating parameterized and non-parametric midpoints.	J. Lee	IR&D	(0.4MB XLA)
A Sample Analysis of CCDR Data Examines how Contractor Cost Data Reporting (CCDR) data have utility by evaluating the consistency and value of the missile data collected by the Department of Defense (DoD) over the past forty years.	J. York D. Lyons	DCARC DoDCAS	(0.5MB PDF)
Building A Normalized Software Database Using SRDRs Describes problems encountered with Software Resource Data Report (SRDR) data and provides recommendations for building a sound software industry-average database.	M. Gallo E. Koza M. Holzman P. Hardin	DASA-CE DoDCAS	(0.8MB PDF)
VAMOSC Views: Developing & Assessing O&S Cost Estimates VAMOSC VIEWS is a product developed by Technomics in support of the Naval Center for Cost Analysis VAMOSC Program. This provides an overview of VAMOSC VIEWS and its applicability in developing and assessing O&S cost estimates.	P. Hardin	NCCA DoDCAS	(0.2MB PDF)

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